STV for Doncaster and North Lincolnshire
Thus completing the Yorkshire and Humberside region
There were significant changes in the Boundary Commission’s solution for Doncaster in 2024. The Don Valley constituency disappeared entirely, Conisbrough was moved into a Rotherham seat, and Doncaster East was extended into a flat part of North Lincolnshire known as the Isle of Axholme. The first change is immaterial here since all the Doncaster seats are amalgamated, but the last two changes are reflected in my proposal.
Doncaster (to elect 3 MPs, covering the current constituencies of Doncaster Central; Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme; Doncaster North)
Grimsby & Scunthorpe (to elect 3 MPs, covering the current constituencies of Brigg and Immingham; Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes; Scunthorpe)
The Geography
Those Doncaster changes saw Don Valley constituency disappeared entirely, Conisbrough was moved into a Rotherham seat, and Doncaster East was extended into a flat part of North Lincolnshire known as the Isle of Axholme. The first change is immaterial here since all the Doncaster seats are amalgamated, but the last two changes are reflected in my proposal.
The two authorities of North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire currently elect 3 MPs. Combining them into one STV constituency makes sense and solves the problem of a few Grimsby and Cleethorpes suburbs being separted from their towns. There’s a case to be made for including Cleethorpes in the name.
The Politics
The more rural Don Valley had fallen to the Conservatives in 2019, but Doncaster’s seats have since returned to Labour. While there are Conservative votes in all three constituencies, Reform doesn’t seem to have made significant inroads into the right-of-centre vote here. The most likely result would be two Labour MPs and one Conservative.
A similar outcome could occur in Scunthorpe and Grimsby. This area turned entirely blue in 2019, but Labour recovered to take two seats, with Brigg remaining its usual Conservative stronghold—just barely. For this STV constituency, I suggest that the voting system wouldn’t make much of a difference. There would almost certainly be one seat each for the main parties here, with the third seat potentially open to others, but Labour, then the Conservatives would likely be the favorites.
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